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Blog Archives

INSANITY

June 14, 2010


Good morning. Snap back week for the market last week, as the market looked at some stronger numbers out of Asia and the run on the Euro subsided somewhat, at least for the moment. The SPY’s finished the week up 2.86 (or 2.7%) to close at 109.68, virtually the same level it closed the Friday before Memorial Day. So we had a fairly violent move to the downside, down to 104.65 last Tuesday, before recovering to slightly higher for the two weeks last Friday. This morning the market looks to extend those gains.

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The Bottom Line

June 7, 2010


Good morning. One of the few calendar, or seasonal, type plays in the market that has been most consistent since the early 1980’s (time I started in the trading business) has been the relative lack of volatility in the market from essentially the May options expiration through Memorial Day and even until the 4th of July. When I remember the years when I had 11 traders trading in our group on the floor of the CBOE and how difficult it was to not end up long premium entering a time of holidays, time off, graduations, etc. Not this year, it seems.

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We have met the enemy and he is us.

November 30, 2009


Good morning, and hopefully everyone had a happy and restful Thanksgiving holiday. The market was mostly positive last week until Friday, the normally sleepy half day after Thanksgiving, when the market reacted to worldwide sell-offs on Thursday due to the impending suspension of interest payments from Dubai World. The SPY was down on Friday from 111.38 to 109.38, or 1.6%, essentially erasing the entire gain of the previous four days, but not nearly as much as the 2-5% drops in other markets around the world.

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